"Play-action is at the core of the Colts' offense; they use it on 33% of dropbacks, second most in the NFL. And it might be a particularly potent lever in Week 12, because the Chiefs -- while generally a solid defense that ranks 13th in EPA allowed per dropback -- have struggled mightily against play-action. They rank dead last in EPA allowed per play-action play (0.38) and have allowed a 62% success rate against play-action, second worst among all defenses."
"First, analytics writer Seth Walder breaks down three stat trends that could be pivotal this weekend. Then fantasy writer Eric Moody runs through five players who are rostered in under 50% of ESPN leagues as of Saturday and could be started in a jam. That's followed by NFL analyst Ben Solak's four potential surprises, NFL analyst Matt Bowen's key matchup to watch and sports betting analyst Pamela Maldonado's favorite bet for Week 11."
Week 12 opens after the Texans beat the Bills 23-19 on Thursday night. Analytics identify three stat trends that could determine winners, including the Colts' heavy use of play-action (33% of dropbacks) and the Chiefs' pronounced struggles against play-action (dead last in EPA allowed per play-action play and a 62% success rate allowed). Fantasy coverage highlights five players rostered in under 50% of ESPN leagues who could be startable in a pinch. Additional coverage points to four potential surprises, a key matchup to watch, a favorite betting pick, and notable quarterback situations around the league.
Read at ESPN.com
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