Can stats pick out the Championship play-off winner?
Briefly

Can stats pick out the Championship play-off winner?
"In the 21 play-off campaigns since the Championship era began in 2004-05, the club finishing in third during the regular season has won promotion the most often."
"Recent history shows that teams finishing in fourth place are well set up for promotion, too. The past six Championship play-off winners have all finished in either third or fourth."
"Millwall are historically the best bet, but fourth-placed Southampton might be a better shout given the recent trend."
"The most recent fifth-placed club to win promotion were Aston Villa in 2018-19. You have to go back almost a full further decade to find a sixth-placed club triumphing."
Millwall, Southampton, Middlesbrough, and Hull City are competing in the Championship play-offs for a chance to join Coventry City and Ipswich Town in the Premier League. The semi-finals feature Millwall against Hull and Southampton against Middlesbrough. Historically, teams finishing in third or fourth place have the best chances of winning promotion, with nine of the last 21 campaigns won by third-placed teams. Recent trends favor fourth-placed Southampton, while fifth and sixth-placed teams have had less success in the play-offs.
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