"Citigroup's Bitcoin prediction for 2026 is one of the most talked-about forecasts from Wall Street this year. Analysts at Citi have projected that Bitcoin ( ) could reach $143,000 over the next 12 months-about a 62% upside from today's roughly $87,000 price level. But Citi didn't stop there. Their Bitcoin prediction outlines a clear bear case of $78,500 and a bull case of $189,000, giving investors a structured set of scenarios. This scenario planning is especially valuable for conservative and institutional investors seeking risk-managed Bitcoin exposure."
"Citi analysts, including Dirk Willer, Global Head of Macro Strategy, and Alex Saunders, Global Head of Quant Macro Strategy, point to renewed flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs as critical to price recovery. Large ETF inflows create stable buying pressure that supports higher prices. Bitcoin spot ETFs launched in January 2024 and initially attracted tens of billions. Citi expects $15 billion in ETF inflows over the next 12 months to reignite consistent institutional interest."
"The bank's base-case Bitcoin forecast takes a moderately optimistic stance on macro conditions, regulatory progress through the Clarity Act, and continued adoption through Bitcoin ETFs. The bull case assumes broader institutional demand and extra tailwinds, while the bear case reflects global recession and stalled growth. In Citigroup's base case-with a 12-month horizon to December 2026- Bitcoin reaches $143,000. This assumes sustained positive drivers converging to support a 62% rally from current levels."
Citigroup forecasts a base-case Bitcoin price of $143,000 by December 2026, implying roughly 62% upside from the current ~$87,000 level. The bank outlines a bull case of $189,000 and a bear case of $78,500 to frame risk-managed scenarios. The base case assumes moderately optimistic macro conditions, regulatory progress via the Clarity Act, and continued adoption driven by spot Bitcoin ETFs. Citi expects roughly $15 billion of ETF inflows over 12 months to rekindle institutional demand. Analysts highlight revived ETF demand and stronger equity correlations as key drivers that can sustain buying pressure and higher prices.
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