Leaked intelligence claims indicate Vladimir Putin is considering military operations launched from Belarus that could threaten northern Ukraine and NATO’s eastern flank. Two possible attack axes are described: a renewed push toward Kyiv via the Chernihiv region, or a direct operation targeting a NATO member bordering Belarus, including Poland, Lithuania, or Latvia. The Suwalki Gap, a narrow corridor between Poland and Lithuania near Kaliningrad and Belarus, is identified as a critical vulnerability for NATO planners. If the corridor were severed, Baltic states could be partially isolated by land. Ukraine also monitors efforts to deepen Belarus’s involvement, warning of forceful response if Belarusian territory is used for a new offensive. The alleged documents list about two dozen targets in Ukraine, including political and military infrastructure and locations in the Kyiv region.
"“Russia is considering plans for operations to the south and north of Belarusian territory - either against the Chernihiv-Kyiv direction in Ukraine or against one of the NATO countries directly from the territory of Belarus.”"
"Particular concern surrounds the Suwalki Gap - the narrow 40-mile corridor linking Poland and Lithuania between the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad and Belarus. NATO planners have long viewed the stretch as one of the alliance's most vulnerable strategic choke points. If severed, the Baltic states could be partially isolated from the rest of NATO by land."
"The alleged documents reportedly identify around two dozen targets inside Ukraine, including political and military infrastructure, Zelensky's headquarters, and a state residence in the Kyiv region."
"Lithuania and Latvia have both expanded defensive works along their frontiers with Belarus and Russia amid fears Moscow could test NATO resolve through hybrid warfare, provocations, or limited incursions."
Read at London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com
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